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Peter Sainsbury
Peter Sainsbury

194 Followers

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Sep 9, 2022

Putting a price on H₂O

”When a well is dry, we know the worth of water” — Benjamin Franklin Energy is life. We price it. We trade it. Carbon emissions are an externality of life. One that we increasingly price and trade. Water is also essential to life. Yet we fail to put a price…

Water

12 min read

Putting a price on H₂O
Putting a price on H₂O
Water

12 min read


Jul 1, 2022

What happens if policymakers are forced to “stamp on the brakes” and force carbon prices higher?

Financial markets have typically worked on the assumption that climate policy would be gradually tightened over a period of several years, if not decades. This is known as the “slow policy ramp”. Too high a carbon price at the outset for example, many reason, will be politically untenable. Instead the…

Carbon Tax

3 min read

What happens if policymakers are forced to “stamp on the brakes” and force carbon prices higher?
What happens if policymakers are forced to “stamp on the brakes” and force carbon prices higher?
Carbon Tax

3 min read


Jun 30, 2022

‘Greenflationary’ expectations

The lumpy, unpredictable nature of climate change and the transition towards zero carbon is likely to mean that inflation will be higher, and more volatile in the future. Much of this inflationary pressure relates to the impact that climate shocks have on the supply of essential commodities, especially agricultural and…

Inflation

7 min read

‘Greenflationary’ expectations
‘Greenflationary’ expectations
Inflation

7 min read


Jun 29, 2022

The great sulphur dioxide allowance bull market

What lessons can we learn from the first cap-and-trade system? The EU’s carbon market was not the worlds first cap-and-trade system to tackle a serious environmental problem. That honour goes to the United States sulphur dioxide (SO2) allowance trading system. Flue gas emissions from coal-fired power generation released huge quantities of sulphur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen oxides (NOx) emissions high…

Natural Capital

7 min read

The great sulphur dioxide allowance bull market
The great sulphur dioxide allowance bull market
Natural Capital

7 min read


Jun 29, 2022

Stranded asset, or last mover advantage?

“Stranded assets” are those left unexploited or experience a decline in value due to changing in market conditions and regulations adopted to decarbonise the economy. The energy supply and generation business is particularly familiar with the concept of stranded assets. The total embedded emissions of known fossil fuel reserves is…

Steel

8 min read

Stranded asset, or last mover advantage?
Stranded asset, or last mover advantage?
Steel

8 min read


Apr 10, 2022

The carbon price is an inflation hedge

As the price of carbon rises it will increasingly imbed itself in the economy, becoming an important driver of costs for business, and ultimately prices for consumers. The economy (including all the products and services we consume) currently holds a massive uncovered short position on carbon. …

Investing

3 min read

Investing

3 min read


Apr 9, 2022

How to think about political risk in carbon markets: Why you should look to the median voter, and stop worrying about politicians

All commodity markets are political, you just need to understand the game that’s being played. Whether it is oil, sugar or rice or something else, government intervention isn’t too far away. Environmental markets such as carbon are a particular type of political construction in which artificial scarcity is created through…

Geopolitics

4 min read

Geopolitics

4 min read


Apr 8, 2022

Natural capital markets: Putting a price on nature

Carbon markets are just the start of a revolution putting a price on nature. Whether its the deforestation of our rainforests, the leakage of waste plastics into the ocean, or the destruction of the coral reefs by pollution, the damage being done to our natural ecosystem is becoming clearer by…

Natural Capital

8 min read

Natural Capital

8 min read


Apr 7, 2022

Technology-based carbon removal credits crucial if net-zero targets are to be met

The vast majority of 1.5°C-aligned scenarios require at least some carbon removal. For example, the 2018 IPCC 1.5°C report states that “all pathways that limit global warming to 1.5°C with limited or no overshoot project the use of carbon dioxide removal.” The IPCC report estimates that the world will need…

Carbon Offset

7 min read

Technology-based carbon removal credits crucial if net-zero targets are to be met
Technology-based carbon removal credits crucial if net-zero targets are to be met
Carbon Offset

7 min read


Apr 6, 2022

Owning up to carbon: Why mandatory climate disclosure requirements could drive demand for emission allowances

The US like many jurisdictions across the globe are in the process of tightening up the rules around what climate related information companies should make public. Many companies are releasing data on a voluntary basis, but it can be difficult to compare one firms data to another. Standardised data on…

Climate Change

5 min read

Climate Change

5 min read

Peter Sainsbury

Peter Sainsbury

194 Followers

I write about carbon markets at carbonrisk.substack.com @CarbonRisk_ Books about commodity markets, betting and misinformation amzn.to/3A05wcH

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