You’ll meet a bad fate if you extrapolate

Peter Sainsbury
5 min readNov 3, 2018

“The course of human history is strongly influenced by the growth of human knowledge…But it’s impossible to ‘predict’, by rational or scientific methods, the future growth of our scientific knowledge because doing so would require us to know that future knowledge and, if we did, it would be present knowledge, not future knowledge.”

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Peter Sainsbury

I write about carbon markets at carbonrisk.substack.com @CarbonRisk_ Books about commodity markets, betting and misinformation amzn.to/3A05wcH